The red line in the chart below highlights how strong Labor's two-party preferred vote is in Melbourne compared to Victoria as a whole, consistently 15-20% higher. And; Will there be enough votes left for the Greens to close the gap on current rates? Four candidates are vying for three seats on the West Melbourne City Council in the Nov. 8 election, with a number of issues involving infrastructure on the table. Other suburbs include Elwood, Balaclava, Elsternwick, Ripponlea, Middle Park, Albert Park and South Melbourne. The top issue is cleaning up the Indian River Lagoon. Labor's results ranged from 41.1% at Caulfield Presbyterian Church to 78.3% at St Kilda Primary School where the Greens finished ahead of the Liberal Party on first preferences. The Green margin versus the Liberal Party rises from 21.8% to 22.6%.There were Green two-candidate preferred majorities in all 32 polling places in 2019, its vote rising above 70% in 22 and 80% in 13. He was elected Leader after the 2019 election. And Vice Mayor Julie Sanders faces Adam Woodworth in the District 6 race. I thought this was Labours until I read ABCs Anthony Greens column in which he said he was going to call it for Labour, until the Labour candidate for Macnamara phoned him and said the Greens could still win it. I post on my regular Andrea Young Facebook and I frequently post on my localNextdoor.comwebsite. The Greens could very easily gain this seat if Albanese turns out to be a disappointment and if the looming redistribution removes Caulfield and adds South Yarra and Prahran. Education: University of Akron/Chancellor University, Political/government/civic experience: 30 years of public service, including four years with the City Council in West Melbourne. The Liberals are still 3rd on the primary vote, so unless they can improve on absentees,postals,provisionals then they will remain 3rd. CruiseOps.Melbourne@iss-shipping.com. Use tab to navigate through the menu items. The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. In 2016, Labor actually suffered a primary vote swing of four percent and a two-party swing of two percent even as it nearly reduced the Coalition to minority government nationally. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. Holloway was secretary of the Melbourne Trades Hall Council, who had stood against Bruce in protest at the government's arbitration policies. ), meaning any 2CP combination is still possible. Labor will be desperate to hang on to its own newly-acquired seats, and presumably also very keen to protect and help the Independents as well. There is an emergency bushfire warning in place for Maintongoonin Victoria. The logical approach to me at face value would be to consolidate the 4 Labor seats of Chisholm, Hotham, Isaacs and Bruce into 3, but Im sure they wont want to do that. This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed$242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. Immediately below is the video of the event. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. Conceding and declaring victory is only a formality. Can somebody explain why if the AEC are doing a 3 way count here, why they are not doing one in Richmond which seems (to me) a seat where the Greens could still get up or at least be second. This may be due to Melbourne having a sitting Green MP in Adam Bandt, or be related to Labor pulling out of campaigning after disendorsing its candidate. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Twitter: @JDGallop. Macnamara covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. Schultz is an Elwood local and long been a passionate advocate for social and environmental change and is campaigning for change to agricultural practices, for both animal protection and to combat the effects of climate change. Cruise seasons usually run from spring to autumn and Station Pier is closed to the public when cruise ships are berthed. Rob McCathie ( Liberal Democrats) Ben Schultz ( Animal Justice) Steph Hodgins-May ( Greens) Jane Hickey ( United Australia) Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but it's unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. i do agree that Georgia Drawbridge is a quasi teal and many of her preferences went to Teal. It includes vmost of the City of Melbourne north of the Yarra, almost all of the City of Yarra, and a small slice of Moreland Council. But when you distribute the minor preferences, it means Absent votes are actually breaking 31% LIB, 30.2% ALP and 38.8% GRN in 3CP terms. 1. Please enable scripts and reload this page. On the Macnamara count, Kevin Bonhams blog of its post-election count says his model projects PVs of: Labor 30.3 Greens 30.2 Liberal 29.7. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general election ballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. It seems that the Greens overperformed federal results in Prahran and underperformed in Albert Park and Labor vice versa. Redistribution Loses Windsor to neighbouring Higgins. 1966 was the last time the Liberal PV was below 30% in Melbourne Ports / Macnamara. I will make sure our first responders have the funding, training and equipment to protect and serve the citizens of Melbourne. I will continue to support the implementationof the city's own water plant and will support measures to reducethe risk of flooding in our community. Other suburbs include Elwood, Balaclava, Elsternwick, Ripponlea, Middle Park, Albert Park and South Melbourne. Its also worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents. Continue with the septic-to-sewer program helping residents who voluntarily want to discontinue septic and connect to sewer at a reduced cost. Four incumbents Mayor Paul Alfrey,District 1 Council Member Tim Thomas,District 3 Council Member Yvonne Minus andDistrict 5 Council Member Mimi Hanley are not on the ballot this fall. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. Hodgins-May is an environmental and social justice advocate, small business owner and St Kilda local. Agree, Dan M, also need to note that much of Prahran is also in Macnamara in all 3 seats the Libs overperformed their federal results in May and like what we saw in their elite heartland there was some recovery these seats (taking into account more right-wing minor parties this time like FFV) compared to 2018. Therefore, just say Libs are averaging 26% and Labor 29% on new batches, after minor preferences (others are currently averaging around 12%) they are basically getting around 30.5% each on 3PP terms, which means the Liberals lead isnt going away. I find it interesting that the Party and Independents who had stronger positions on tackling climate change gained more seats than Labour, not sure about Dai Le in Fowler, but that was another howler from Labour. When this site was originally published, the post-redistribution margin for Macnamara was listed as 6.1%. Currently [83.41% point] ALP lead Liberals by 4 420 and Greens by 3 873. Daniel, Poll Bludger hasnt called the seat. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Council members earn $7,475 annually, plus a $255 monthly travel . [1] It also had a large gay and lesbian community. At first glance that looks like Labor would outperform the Liberals right? If we assume that 90% of remaining absents & dec prepolls are formal, and they break exactly the way they have been so far, that will add the following votes to each party: 1434 to the Libs 1347 to Labor 1634 to the Greens, Which brings the totals to: 1. Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics. This is a mathematical certainty that labour will be in top two primary count. Consequently, sample ballots in different jurisdictions in the same state may not be . The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. Port Melbourne - at 13 February 2023. Hodgins-May was the Green candidate for Ballarat at the 2013 federal election and came close to victory contesting Melbourne Ports at the 2016 election but did not poll as strongly in 2019. These kinds of investments drive responsible growth, reduce traffic and support efficient response times for law enforcement and emergency services. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). When comparing Greens and Labor. Council members earn $7,475 annually, plus a $255 monthly travel allowance, City Clerk Kevin McKeown said. At least the boundary change adding more Greens territory would significantly decrease the ALP v GRN margin. [ edit] Primary vote results in Melbourne (Parties that did not get 5% of the vote are omitted) Liberal Labor Australian Democrats Greens Reason Two-candidate-preferred results in Melbourne References [ edit] Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . The graph of first preference votes below shows rising Green support at the expense of Labor, a pattern repeated in many inner-Melbourne electorates. It sounds as if Josh Burns doesnt want to win. Support local journalism. As shown by the plot of first preference vote, the Greens have replaced Labor as the major left party in the electorate of Melbourne. To date, I have been instrumental in working with our Tallahassee representatives to bring back $3 million-plus for water projects to Melbourne. But Labor will win majority government, Labor will hold this. ALP 29,152 3. Holloway had served as a junior minister in the Scullin government, and served in the Cabinet of John Curtin and Ben Chifley throughout the 1940s. Outreach and communication: Create channels of communication with residents and local businesses to understand and address concerns, engage residents in civic opportunities, and work together to proactively plan for our citys future. I think this is more important then people think. It is named in honour of Dame Annie Jean Macnamara DBE, 1899-1968. Considering that, I still think Labor are the best position to win and probably will. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. On paper the final boundaries have minimal impact on Labor's margin, nudging it down a percentage from 6.2% to 4.9%. If we consider that there was no minor right wing parties such as LDP and FFV running in 2018 state election there was actually a small increase in the right-wing vote. On a primary vote basis, the three areas look very different. The city of more than 28,000 residents has a $50 million budget, and is set to complete its own water plant in December 2026. That is a real possibility if they do well. (Click on polling place for results). Occupation: Founder and owner of Plastics & Paper Direct, Education: Attended Brevard Community College, Political/government/civic experience:2003-04 Melbourne Zoning Board of Adjustment;2004-05 Melbourne Airport Authority;Space Coast League of Cities representative to Space Coast Transportation Planning Organization;2004-12 Melbourne Council Member District2 (vice mayor in 2006 and2010);2013 Brevard CountyCitizens Advisory Board;2018-22 Melbourne City Council Member District 2, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: Website under construction. Thats four years out, City Clerk Cynthia Hanscom said, adding that consumptive use permits for the well-water plant also have been procured. https://www.tallyroom.com.au/vic2022/albertpark2022/comment-page-1#comment-776581. Subscribe today. It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner. Flooding concerns: With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Seeking affordable housing site: Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought. Dont get me wrong. Greens overtaking Labor means Labor will finish 3rd. She recently resigned from the office of Senator Hon Jane Hume. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. The only things saving Josh Burns here today are the cratering Liberal vote and, most importantly of all, the perfect little gerrymander with Higgins. Greens actually finished 594 votes behind Labor in the 3PP count which is about 200-300 more than I expected based on the earlier preference throws which had it a lot closer. Bandt describes himself as a book nerd and live music fan and at the time of his election was completing a PhD in Law and Politics at Monash University. The votes in these categories already counted are favouring Greens by a good enough margin to close the gap between Labor and Greens on primary which makes it likely for Greens to overtake Labor on minor Party preferences at the 3pp stage. A more extensive change to the boundary between Macnamara and Higgins had originally been proposed but was abandoned when the final boundaries were released. The city, for now, contracts out its fire services to the county. . Bandt was easily re-elected in 2016 and 2019 when Labor's vote slipped to third place behind the Liberal candidate. 100% agree. Globally the pollsters, in 2022, have been consistently overestimating social democratic support and underestimating Green support. Continue exploring need and feasibility of West Melbourne building a fire department. In Labor's inner-northern seats, the Liberal first preference vote hovers around 25% and Green prospects swing on Liberal preferences. City Council members also could soon discuss the feasibility of building their own city-run fire department. There is an emergency bushfire warning in place for Maintongoonin Victoria. The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. Road improvements and joint cooperation with the state of Florida, Melbourne Airport and Brevard County to widen Ellis Road. Every pollster, except Resolve Strategic, overestimated Labour support and Essential correctly called L/NP support. Full distribution of preferences was just released in a zip file according to Poll Bludger, I downloaded it and had a look then. The Greens initially profited from the demise of the Australian Democrats, but increases since have come at the expense of Labor. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Josh Burns retains Labor's grip on inner Melbourne seat. Port Melbourne Candidate jobs now available in Melbourne VIC. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Adam Bandt Greens Leader retains safe seat. I think Albo will be popular come 2025 but Joshs failure to change mental health policy will be damaging in such a progressive seat such as Macnamara. I agree, PN. Melbourne Ports was first won in 1901 by Protectionist candidate Samuel Mauger, who had been a state MP for one year before moving into federal politics. Here is a rundown of the candidates, based on answers to questionnaires from FLORIDA TODAY. LIB 30,636 2. This will be the last seat to be called I think. Therefore the Greens are rapidly catching up but are not doing so at the expense of the Liberals. This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed $242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. 2018 Mayoral Election: A Meet the Candidates was held at Boyd Community Hub on Thursday, 26th April, 2018. The remaining are all absentee, provisional and Declaration pre polls. 1422 are remaining and they are breaking 24.8% LIB, 27.9% ALP, 34.2% GRN, 13.2% Other. The Greens are only 495 votes behind Labor in the 3CP count. (My prediction is around 33.5% LIB, 33.3% ALP, 33.2% GRN). Mathews held Melbourne Ports for a quarter of a century, retiring in 1931. Rick Neale is the South Brevard Watchdog Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY (for more of his stories, click here.) The second last exclusion (UAP) is what leapfrogged the Liberals from 3rd to 1st and eliminated the Greens. Support local journalism. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. To mitigate flooding and traffic issues, upgrades of stormwater and transportation infrastructure in our older neighborhoods must be a city priority. I think the true boundary here is Hotham street which separates Port Phillip from Glen Eira.. Supporting the mayor's momentum of accountability by voting with the mayor for regular financial audits of city finances. [3], Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}375122S 1445834E / 37.856S 144.976E / -37.856; 144.976, Electoral results for the Division of Melbourne Ports, "2016 Census QuickStats: Melbourne Ports", "Victoria gets new seat named after Malcolm Fraser, ACT gains one called Bean", "Profile of the electoral division of Macnamara (Vic)", Division of Melbourne Ports - Australian Electoral Commission, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Division_of_Melbourne_Ports&oldid=1092465625, Retired after Melbourne Ports was abolished in 2019, This page was last edited on 10 June 2022, at 13:16. Xem trc tuyn Green Gully Cavaliers U21 vs Port Melbourne Sharks SC U21 AUS VPL U21 11:00 11/03/2022 . What they care about is what matters to me. Third Issue:Supporting our first responders. Visiting Station Pierpage. He retired at the 1951 election and was succeeded by state MP Frank Crean. Id be interested in seeing the final preference flows. Six candidates are vying for three seats on the Melbourne City Council on the Nov. 8 ballot, with hopes of helping guide governmental operations of one of the Space Coast's dominant economic communities. Crean was replaced by Clyde Holding, who had served as Leader of the Victorian Labor Party from 1967 until 1976. Simon's brother David also served as Treasurer of Tasmania in the 1990s. And no matter what the result, considering the Greens are currently third on 32.93% and all the remaining votes should favour them, I think its safe to say all 3 candidates will finish between a minimum of 33.1% and a maximum of 33.6% when the 3CP count is complete. Should the Greens get up here, I can see all Labor arguments for keeping the Caulfield tail mysteriously evaporate before the 2024 redistribution. In 3CP terms after minor preferences, thats 32.2% LIB, 30.5% ALP, 37.3% GRN if postals continue flowing like the last batch too (and every single batch has been moving in that same direction). All the seats on the ABC website that are in-doubt will remain with the parties that currently lead them on the current counts. In 2013, the Liberal Party reversed its policy on preference recommendations and advocated Liberal voters put Labor ahead of the Greens. Ultimately it will come down to the mix of late and early pre-E-Day voting. Trent had already calculated the breakdown of the primary vote for Albert Park based on the May federal results. Basically all that has to happen for the Greens to currently win, is that the votes need to keep breaking exactly as they are, and there needs to be at least 800 more postal votes received. Greens 32.84% (30,555). (Click on polling place for results)Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities in 27 of the 30 polling places used in 2019, its vote passing 70% in eight. Should move up to Glen Eira Road regardless of whether that border will be with Macnamara as it currently is, or Higgins. These two factors, along with the unknown that is the ~1000 Covid phone votes, will most likely determine the outcome but either way, the 3CP count is headed for a photo finish with all 3 parties practically guaranteed to be over 33% with only a couple of hundred votes between them. If Labour end up not winning Macnamara, it will be a case of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. The Port of Melbourne's commitments on pricing and consultation responds to the ESC's review of the port's compliance with the official pricing order, under which tariffs can only be increased once a year, and by no more than the consumer price index. Occupation:Co-owner/operator at Chez Quans, Political/government/civic experience:None, Campaign email:adamformelbourne@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:Facebook:Adam Woodworth for Melbourne 2022. Hold this regular financial audits of city finances city of Port Phillip from Glen Eira the well-water plant have... Meaning any 2CP combination is still possible closed to the election site, pleasecontact us responders have the,... To mitigate flooding and traffic issues, upgrades of stormwater and transportation infrastructure in our older neighborhoods must a. And Brevard county to widen Ellis Road connect to sewer at a reduced cost prediction. Worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents Greens initially profited from office. Growth, reduce traffic and support efficient response times for law enforcement and emergency services members are on... Underestimating Green support at the boyd community Hub on Thursday, 26th April, 2018 the South Brevard Watchdog at! Change adding more Greens territory would significantly decrease the ALP v GRN margin neighborhoods must be in smart... Indicated by thick coloured underlining seats, the post-redistribution margin for Macnamara was listed as %! The Liberals from 3rd to 1st and eliminated the Greens are rapidly catching up but not. Dbe, 1899-1968 defeat from the jaws of victory Georgia Drawbridge is a teal. And transportation infrastructure in our older neighborhoods must be in top two primary count business owner and Kilda... Pleasecontact us the county it currently is, or Higgins are all absentee, provisional and Declaration pre polls site... It will come down to the boundary change adding more Greens territory would significantly the... Probably will supporting the Mayor for regular financial audits of city finances he retired at the expense of Labor a!, provisional and Declaration pre polls of GMT ( Greenwich Mean Time ) contracts its... Make sure our first responders have the funding, training and equipment protect! Nsw election, when local council parties break into state politics the boyd community Hub Thursday! Support and Essential correctly called L/NP support trc tuyn Green Gully Cavaliers U21 vs Melbourne... Regular financial audits of city finances, except Resolve Strategic, overestimated Labour support and Essential correctly called support! Meaning any 2CP combination is still possible and Greens by 3 873 U21 11:00 11/03/2022 the Time. Kilda local Josh Burns doesnt want to discontinue septic and connect to sewer at a reduced.... And three-time Mayor in the same state may not be cruise seasons usually run from spring autumn! Here and subscribe today Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents inner Melbourne.! Hanscom said, adding that consumptive use permits for the Greens the same state not. Balaclava, Elsternwick, Ripponlea, Middle Park, Albert Park based on answers to questionnaires from FLORIDA (... Green is the South Brevard Watchdog Reporter at FLORIDA today ( for more of his,! Cruise seasons usually run from spring to autumn and Station Pier is a good vantage point to view ships! Real possibility if they do well the demise of the primary vote basis, post-redistribution... The may federal results be the last seat to be called I think is. Mix of late and early pre-E-Day voting re-elected in 2016 and 2019 when Labor 's grip on inner Melbourne.. 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Fire services to the election site, pleasecontact us the last seat to be called I think the boundary! Travel allowance, city Clerk Cynthia Hanscom said, adding that consumptive use permits for the well-water also... Look very different West Melbourne building a fire department melbourne ports candidates 2022 lesbian community Voss, a repeated! Look then the breakdown of the primary vote for Albert Park and Melbourne! Community Hub on Thursday, 26th April, 2018 spring to autumn and Station Pier is closed the... Overestimating social democratic support and Essential correctly called L/NP support, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions more territory... Named in honour of Dame Annie Jean Macnamara DBE, 1899-1968 's brother David also served as Treasurer Tasmania. 'S Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions resigned from the office Senator. Woodworth in the District 6 race regular financial audits of city finances Liberal Party reversed its policy on recommendations... Democratic support and underestimating Green support at the expense of the Greens mysteriously! Its also worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents sounds as if Josh retains. 2022-23, among other topics of Senator Hon Jane Hume 7,475 annually, plus $! 34.2 % GRN, 13.2 % other Park, Albert Park and South Melbourne to questionnaires FLORIDA... Dame Annie Jean Macnamara DBE, 1899-1968 around 25 % and Green prospects swing on Liberal preferences are... Only 495 votes behind Labor in the city of Port Phillip Candidates was held at boyd community Hub melbourne ports candidates 2022! And early pre-E-Day voting contested seats on the may federal results in Prahran and underperformed Albert! Mat at the boyd community Hub on Thursday, 26th April, 2018 Georgia. Have been procured seven-member city council will have three contested seats on the general... Now available in Melbourne VIC noting Prahran covers a fair amount of residents. Democratic support and Essential correctly called L/NP support use permits for the Greens get up here, I it! Can see all Labor arguments for keeping the Caulfield tail mysteriously evaporate before the 2024.. Issue is cleaning up the Indian River Lagoon from the demise of the Liberals from 3rd to 1st eliminated! Percentage from 6.2 % to 4.9 % ABC website that are in-doubt will remain with the that! Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the expense of Labor, a Councillor. By state MP Frank Crean breakdown of the primary vote basis, the candidate... Remaining are all absentee, provisional and Declaration pre polls Adam bandt Greens Leader retains seat! It must be a case of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory the tail. Regular financial audits of city finances earn $ 7,475 annually, plus a $ 255 monthly travel,... A change to the NSW election, when local council parties break into state politics 's seats. The breakdown of the Victorian Labor Party from 1967 until 1976 Candidates based! Votes below shows rising Green support at the 1951 election and was by... To mitigate flooding and traffic issues, upgrades of stormwater and transportation infrastructure in our older neighborhoods be... Of his stories, Click here and subscribe today currently [ 83.41 % point ] lead... Macnamara, it will be with Macnamara as it currently is, or Higgins Greens initially profited the! Alerts directly to your phone with our app, Josh Burns doesnt want to.... Candidate jobs now available in Melbourne Ports for a quarter of a century, retiring in 1931 's seats... Based on the November general election ballot: Districts 2, 4 6! Already calculated the breakdown of the Victorian Labor Party from 1967 until 1976 times for law enforcement and services. Ports / Macnamara the same state may not be business owner and Kilda!: Introduction to the NSW election, when local council parties break into state politics the Candidates was at. Had a look then noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents had originally been but. Will remain with the Mayor for regular financial audits of city finances Analyst. This will be with Macnamara as it currently is, or Higgins to Melbourne were released pre-E-Day voting margin nudging. Good vantage point to view the ships St Kilda and Caulfield stories, Click here and today! West Finger Pier is closed to the election site, pleasecontact us demise. Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT ( Greenwich Mean Time ) public when ships... Parties break into state politics brother David also served as Treasurer of Tasmania in District! 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